Final college baseball bracket predictions before Monday's selections, according to D1Baseball

Editor's note: The following .

One thing to keep in mind with the way NCAA tournament seedings now operate: The NCAA Baseball Selection Committee will now rank the Top 32 teams, with 17-32 teams being grouped in pods as two seeds with the Top 16 seeds. For instance, teams in the 29-32 range will go national seeds in the No’s 1-4 range, teams in the 25-28 range will go to national seeds No’s 5-8, teams in the 21-24 range will go to national seeds in the No’s 9-12 range and teams in the 17-20 range will be two seeds at the No’s 13-16 regionals. It is worth noting two things: geographical considerations still matter when applicable, and you still cannot have two teams from the same conference in the same regional. That will naturally cause some seeding manipulation during the process.

Bids by conference: SEC (12), ACC (9), Big 12 (7), Big Ten (4), Conference USA (3), Sun Belt (3), American (2), Big West (2)

Mark Etheridge, Kendall Rogers and Aaron Fitt, who have a combined 60 years of experience covering college baseball, compile our projections.

Bracket Analysis

• There are no changes in the top eight of our projections. We moved Florida above the top eight cut line on Saturday, and the Gators remain there despite a close loss to rival Georgia at the SEC tournament. The Gators have a strong RPI, non-conference SOS, and the 16 wins vs. Q1 teams still loom large. Alabama remains ahead of the Gators, thanks to a better RPI, and thanks to sweeping the Gators at home earlier this season. Of teams outside of the top eight, the only real contenders to make the top eight include Southern Miss, Texas A&M and Florida State. The Golden Eagles will play for the SBC tournament title against Louisiana and continue to have strong metrics with 24 wins vs. Q1 and Q2 teams. However, they lag significantly behind the Aggies and Seminoles in DSR. The Aggies are 7 in the DSR, while the Seminoles are 11 in the DSR. The order of the Golden Eagles, Aggies and Seminoles could go any direction as Selection Day nears.
•  We have one new host — Oregon. The Ducks put together a solid regular-season resume and had a monster day at the Big Ten tournament, beating Washington in the morning before blowing out Nebraska in the nightcap. The Ducks are up to 15 in the RPI with a 12-9 mark vs. RPI Q1 and a 17-10 mark vs. RPI Q1 and Q2. The DSR is kind to the Ducks, too, who sit at 18 in that ranking metric. Mississippi State is the team that dropped out. It would not surprise us to see the Bulldogs be a Top 16 host because of the RPI. However, Arkansas should clearly be ahead of the Bulldogs in the pecking order with a head-to-head series win, 18 wins vs. RPI Q1 teams and an aggregate SEC record of 20-13. By comparison, Mississippi State is 9-14 vs. RPI Q1 and 13-17 vs. RPI Q1 and Q2. We do not think the committee will give host sites to both MSU and Arkansas at the backend, the Ducks move into the field, the Razorbacks stay put, and the Bulldogs move out.
• With UC Santa Barbara bowing out of the Big West tournament and Cal Poly winning the automatic bid, the Big West is now a two-bid league, which means there was a ‘stolen’ bid on Saturday. That moved Pittsburgh, which lost to North Carolina at the ACC tournament, off the board as a team in the field. Troy and Mercer are the first two teams out of the field. Mercer is such a unique case. The Bears have a strong RPI inside the Top 30, but it’s also a mid-major with a poor non-conference SOS, along with iffy overall metrics. As for Troy, Skylar Meade’s club has made quite an impression at the Sun Belt tournament this week. However, even with an emerging RPI, it’s difficult to move the Trojans ahead of the Bears, who have a head-to-head series win the first weekend of the year.
  — Kendall Rogers

On The Bubble

Last Four In

BACK-TO-BACK CHAMPS HAS A NICE 💍 TO IT

— ECU Baseball (@ECUBaseball)

61. TCU
62. East Carolina
63. Kentucky
64. NC State

First Four Out

65. Mercer
66. Troy
67. Pittsburgh
68. Texas State

Four To Watch

69. High Point
70. Kent State
71. Michigan
72. Purdue

Field of 64

May 24 Edition

Los Angeles (UCLA)

UCLA runs the table as No. 1 in final baseball Power 10 rankings

1. UCLA* (1)
2. Boston College (30)
3. UC Santa Barbara
4. San Diego State*

Morgantown, W.Va.

1. West Virginia (16)
2. Mississippi State (17)
3. Virginia Tech
4. Holy Cross*

Atlanta

1. Georgia Tech* (2)
2. Oklahoma (29)
3. East Carolina
4. Yale*

Fayetteville, Ark.

1. Arkansas (15)
2. Southern California (20)
3. TCU
4. Lamar*

Athens, Ga.

1. Georgia* (3)
2. Virginia (32)
3. Campbell*
4. Florida A&M*

Lincoln, Neb.

1. Nebraska (14)
2. Ole Miss (19)
3. Liberty
4. South Dakota State*

Chapel Hill, N.C.

1. North Carolina (4)
2. Missouri State (31)
3. Kentucky
4. Saint Mary’s

Eugene, Ore.

1. Oregon (13)
2. Oregon State (18)
3. Tarleton*
4. Milwaukee*

Auburn, Ala.

1. Auburn (5)
2. Wake Forest (26)
3. The Citadel*
4. Lipscomb*

Lawrence, Kan.

Best in the Big 12 🧹

— Kansas Baseball (@KUBaseball)

1. Kansas* (12)
2. Coastal Carolina (21)
3. Northern Illinois*
4. Eastern Illinois*

Austin, Texas

1. Texas (6)
2. Miami (27)
3. Louisiana
4. UC San Diego*

Tallahassee, Fla.

1. Florida State (11)
2. Cincinnati (22)
3. St. John’s
4. Binghamton*

Tuscaloosa, Ala.

1. Alabama (7)
2. Jacksonville State* (28)
3. UCF
4. Long Island*

College Station, Texas

1. Texas A&M (10)
2. Oklahoma State (23)
3. UTSA*
4. Rider*

Gainesville, Fla.

1. Florida (8)
2. Arizona State (25)
3. USC Upstate*
4. VCU*

Hattiesburg, Miss.

1. Southern Miss (9)
2. Tennessee (24)
3. NC State
4. Illinois-Chicago*